2013 AL Playoff Predictions

Here are my 2013 AL Playoff Predictions:

Recap:

- AL East: Toronto

- AL Central: Detroit

- AL West: Los Angeles

- AL Wild Cards: Tampa Bay will play at Texas

 

Predictions:

- Tampa bay beats Texas in 1 game wild card playoff

- Detroit beats Tampa Bay in ALDS in 4 games

- Los Angeles beats  Toronto in ALDS in 5 games

- Detroit beats Los Angeles in ALCS in 5 games

 

PS:

- Detroit wins World Series in 6 games. For my NL Playoff Predictions, check back soon.

2013 AL West Standings Predictions

Here are my 2013 AL West Standings Predictions:

 

1. Los Angeles: 90-72

2. Texas: 89-73

3. Oakland: 84-78

4. Seattle: 75-87

5. Houston: 64-98

 

Notes:

- Angels players gain what it feels like to have Josh Hamilton in the lineup.

- Rangers players feel the void of not having Josh in the lineup.

- The A’s play like B’s as their magic slips back a little bit, but Yoenis is an MVP candidate.

- Mariners offense still feels lackluster even with fences moved in.

- Houston has Jose Altuve on its roster, so that’s good.

2013 AL Central Standings Predictions

Monday March 25th:

 

2013 AL Central Standings Predictions:

1. Detroit: 99-63

2. Chicago: 85-77

3. Kansas City: 80-82

4. Cleveland: 77-85

5. Minnesota: 71-91

 

Notes:

- Detroit will run away with it and clinch the division in early September.  Coasting is an understatement.

- Kansas City and Cleveland will be in it in the first half but fade in the second half.  Cleveland’s pitching isn’t quite there yet.

- Chicago will be out of it in the first half and play well to come back in the second half.  Chris Sale will spend more than 30 total days on the DL this year.

- Minnesota will be hurting all year long.

2013 AL East Standings Predictions

Wed: March 20.

Now that spring is officially here, it’s a fitting time for division standings predictions.

 

AL East Standings Predictions

Theme: A close race among all 5 teams into early September.

Standings and W-L:
1. Toronto: 91-71
2. Tampa Bay: 87-75
3. New York: 83-79
4. Boston: 78-84
5. Baltimore: 76-86

Notes:
Toronto: Will fluctuate around .500 then finish strong after the trade deadline as their talent unites.

Tampa Bay: Will be in first place for a while in the summer months and fall to about 5 games back in September. (Could be a wild card team, prediction to come)

New York: Will have a rough start due to their injuries.  Second half will be better but not quite enough.  Will miss the playoffs.

Boston: Will be consistently about 5-10 games back from June to the end of the season.

Baltimore: Last years magic will run out. They will be in first place early but will drop off significantly in the 2nd half.

Franchise W-L & Win% in Years Ending in ’3′

The 2013 season in coming, so who has the best Winning Percentage in years ending in ’3′? (2003, 1973, 1903, etc)  See below to find out.

American League:


Team Win % W-L Year of Origin
NYY 0.576 979-722 1901
Tor 0.556 270-216 1977
ChiW 0.523 895-816 1901
KC 0.515 334-314 1969
Min 0.509 870-840 1901
Bos 0.507 864-839 1901
Cle 0.501 858-855 1901
Hou 0.500 405-405 1962
Oak 0.487 832-877 1901
Sea 0.484 235-251 1977
Balt 0.476 814-897 1901
Det 0.473 811-904 1901
LAA 0.454 367-442 1961
Tex 0.428 347-463 1961
TB 0.389 63-99 1998

National League:


Team Win % W-L Year of Origin
SF 0.551 1068-872 1883
Atl 0.535 1069-930 1871
LAD 0.533 978-858 1884
Wash 0.522 338-310 1969
Ari 0.519 84-78 1998
ChiC 0.513 995-945 1871
StL 0.510 990-951 1882
Pitt 0.501 973-969 1882
Cin 0.499 969-973 1882
Fla 0.478 155-169 1993
Phi 0.472 914-1023 1883
Milw 0.460 298-350 1969
Col 0.435 141-183 1993
SD 0.410 266-382 1969
NYM 0.403 326-482 1962

Fun Fact: The Houston Astros, who are moving to the American League this year, have won 405 games in years ending in ’3′, and have lost 405 games in years ending in ’3′.  Anyone think they will go 81-81 this year?

2012 – AL & NL MVP Voting

Here is my voting for the AL and NL MVP voting for 2012:

 

American League:

1. Cabrera

2. Trout

3. Rodney

4. Verlander

5. Cano

6. Beltre

7. Price

8. Fielder

9. Jim Johnson

10. Cespedes

 

National League:

1. McCutchen

2. Braun

3. Posey

4. Dickey

5. Kimbrel

6. Chapman

7. A Ramirez

8. M Holliday

9. A Craig

10. Gio Gonzalez

2012 – Cy Young Award

Here are my votes for the Cy Young award for the American and National Leagues for 2012.

 

American League:

1. Rodney

2. Verlander

3. Price

4. Sale

5. Felix

 

National League:

1. Dickey

2. Strasburg

3. Kershaw

4. Gio Gonzalez

5. Craig Kimbrel

 

2012 – Reliever Award

Here are my votes for the AL & NL reliever of the year award for 2012.

 

American League:

1. Fernando Rodney, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.60 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 48 Saves. Enough said, may be the AL Cy Young too.

2. Jim Johnson, Baltimore Orioles: 2.49 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 51 Saves. Normally 51 saves would get a person #1, but not in a year with a 0.60 ERA.

3. Rafael Soriano, New York Yankees: 2.26 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 42 Saves. Solid job stepping in for Mariano, nothing too incredible in terms of stats, but better than anyone else other than #1 and #2, and no strong middle relievers for this award this year.

 

National League:

1. Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta Braves: 62.2 IP, 1.01 ERA, 0.65 WHIP, 42 Saves, 116 K.  9 less innings, 4 more saves, 6 less K than Chapman, better ERA, better WHIP.

2. Aroldis Chapman, Cincinnati Reds: 71.2 IP, 1.51 EA, 0.81 WHIP, 38 Saves, 122 K.  End of the season struggles didn’t help him.

3. Jonathan Papelbon, Philadelphia Phillies: 70 IP, 2.44 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 38 Saves, 92 K.  Solid year for Pap in his 1st year in the NL. Beats out Jason Motte hear because Motte had 7 blown saves.

2012 AL & NL Rookie of the Year Awards

October 14, 2012.

Here is my voting for the 2012 Rookies of the Year for the American League and National League.

American League:

1. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: .326 AVG, .963 OPS, 30 HR, 83 RBI, 49 SB. No need for any additional argument, stats are unreal for a rookie, especially .963 OPS.

2. Yoenis Cespedes, Oakland A’s: .292 AVG, .861 OPS, 23 HR, 82 RBI, 16 SB. Solid all around stats, leader of a division winning team, any other year he would be the ROY.

3. Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers: 16 Wins, 221 K, 191.1 IP, 3.90 ERA.  ERA is high but 221 K in 191 IP is legit. ERA doesn’t give him any chance at an argument for 2nd.

 

National League:

1. Wade Miley, Arizona Diamondbacks: 16 Wins, 144 K, 194.2 IP, 3.33 ERA, 1.18 WHIP.  Only 37 walks allowed.  It was really close between Miley and Harper, but to me, Miley was more consistent throughout the season, whereas Harper slumped a little in the middle of the year.

2. Bryce Harper: Washington Nationals: .270 AVG, .817 OPS, 22 HR, 59 RBI, 18 SB, 98 Runs, 144 Hits.  The average and hits don’t stack up against Miley’s pitching numbers over a full season.

3. Norichika Aoki, Milwaukee Brewers: .288 AVG, .788 OPS, 10 HR, 50 RBI, 30 SB.  Beat out Frazier and Rosario with solid season long performance including 520 AB, 150 Hits, and 81 Runs.

 

2012 Manager of the Year Award

Oct 14, 2012:

Below is my voting for the 2012 American League and National League Manager of the Year Awards.

Please note that for me its mostly on the criteria of what the team did in comparison to their expectations. I feel that the managers have a lot to do with motivating their players to exceed greater than they are expected as individuals and as a team.

American League:

  1. Bob Melvin, Oakland A’s: Most people picked them to finish last in that division, with that payroll, and they finished 1st.
  2. Buck Showalter, Baltimore Orioles: Not as unpredictable as Oakland, but still very surprising and most people picked them to finish in 3rd, 4th or 5th in the AL East.
  3. Robin Ventura, Chicago White Sox: 1st year manager who had his team in contention until the end the year.

 

National League:

  1. Davey Johnson, Washington Nationals: The team was expected to perform well, but maybe not this well.  They had 98 wins, the most in MLB, and they led the division for a long time during the year with no real previous wining experience.  Johnson also handled the Strasburg situation well and did not let it get in the way of his team winning.
  2. Don Mattingly, LA Dodgers: They were in contention almost all year still with ownership change, Kemp and Kershaw injured and struggling, and all those trades.
  3. Mike Matheny, St. Louis Cardinals: No Pujols, no carpenter, 1st year manager, Berkman injury, and they still got into the playoffs.